The mass street protests after Belarus’s 2020 presidential election failed to oust dictator Alyaksandr Lukashenka. They nonetheless represented a political and national awakening of Belarusian society, with a level of popular engagement in politics unseen in Belarus during the preceding three decades. Eighteen months after the election crisis, Belarusians were plunged into a new crisis as their state provided a supporting role in Russia’s large-scale invasion of Ukraine. This article identifies the main causes of the 2020 protests and their relationship to Belarusian national identity. It assesses the state of the national awakening three years after the 2020 election in the context of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Belarus’s role in that war; asking whether Belarus is still sovereign and whether loss of sovereignty is fatal for Belarusian national identity. It argues that Lukashenka’s position remains highly precarious and that the national awakening hangs in the balance.
Purchase
Buy instant access (PDF download and unlimited online access):
Institutional Login
Log in with Open Athens, Shibboleth, or your institutional credentials
Personal login
Log in with your brill.com account
Belarusian Analytical Workroom [data not available online]
Belarus Change Tracker (2022, 2023). Available via https://www.fes.de/bibliothek/.
Chatham House (2020–2024). Available via https://belaruspolls.org.
Institute for Independent Socio-Economic and Political Studies (IISEPS) (until 2016). Archived at https://old.iiseps.org.
Aslund, A. (2012), How Capitalism was Built: The Transformation of Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and Central Asia (Cambridge).
Bedford, S. (2021), ‘The 2020 Presidential Election in Belarus: Erosion of Authoritarian Stability and Re-Politicization of Society,’ Nationalities Papers, 49:5, 808–819.
Chulitskaya, T. and Bindman, E. (2023), ‘Post-Soviet Policy Entrepreneurs’ in Korosteleva et al. (2023).
Halperin, S. and Heath, O. (2020), Political Research: Methods and Practical Skills (Oxford).
Hansbury, P. (2021), ‘Domestic Constraints on Foreign Policy Change in Belarus,’ Journal of Belarusian Studies, 11:1, 27–55.
Hansbury, P. (2023), Belarus in Crisis: From Domestic Unrest to the Russia-Ukraine War (London).
Korosteleva, E., Petrovna, I. and Kudlenko, A. (eds.) (2023), Belarus in the Twenty-First Century: Between Dictatorship and Democracy (Abingdon).
Krasner, S. D. (1999), Sovereignty: Organized Hypocrisy (Princeton NJ).
Kudlenko, A. (2023), ‘Tracing the Emergence of Peoplehood in Belarus’ in Korosteleva et al. (2023).
Kulakevich, T. (2020), ‘National Awakening in Belarus: Elite Ideology to “Nation” Practice,’ SAIS Review of International Affairs, 40:2, 97–110.
Leukavets, A. (2021), ‘Russia’s game in Belarus: 2020 presidential elections as a checkmate for Lukashenka?’ New Perspectives, 29:1, 90–101.
Luttwak, E. (2016 [1968]), Coup d’Etat: A Practical Handbook (London).
Martin, T. D. (2001), The Affirmative Action Empire: Nations and Nationalism in the Soviet Union (Ithaca NY).
Moshes, A. and Nizhnikau, R. (eds.) (2023), Russian Policy Towards Belarus After 2020: At a Turning Point? (Lanham MA).
Olson, M. (1971), The Logic of Collective Action: Public Goods and the Theory of Groups (Cambridge MA).
Racz, A. (2023), ‘Russia’s Defense Policy and Belarus after 2020’ in Moshes and Nizhnikau (2023).
Schelling, T. C. (1960), The Strategy of Conflict (Cambridge MA).
Schmitt, C. (2006 [1922]), Political Theology: Four Chapters on the Concept of Sovereignty (Chicago IL).
Shadurski, V. (2023), ‘Where does Belarus go from here?’ in Korosteleva, E., Petrovna, I. and Kudlenko, A. (eds.) (2023), Belarus in the Twenty-First Century: Between Dictatorship and Democracy (Abingdon).
Skocpol, T. (1979), States and Social Revolutions (New York NY).
Ticalau, R. G. (2023), ‘Belarusian Regime Perceptions of Russian Aggression In Ukraine,’ Journal of Belarusian Studies, 13:1–2.
Way, L. A. (2020), ‘How a Dictator Became Vulnerable,’ Journal of Democracy, 31:4, 17–27.
Wilson, A. (2011), Belarus: The Last European Dictatorship (New Haven CT).
Wilson, A. (2016), ‘Belarus: from a Social Contract to a Security Contract?’ Journal of Belarusian Studies, 8:1, 78–91.
Wilson, A. (2024), Political Technology: The Globalisation of Political Manipulation (Cambridge).
All Time | Past 365 days | Past 30 Days | |
---|---|---|---|
Abstract Views | 598 | 290 | 19 |
Full Text Views | 21 | 9 | 0 |
PDF Views & Downloads | 54 | 25 | 0 |
The mass street protests after Belarus’s 2020 presidential election failed to oust dictator Alyaksandr Lukashenka. They nonetheless represented a political and national awakening of Belarusian society, with a level of popular engagement in politics unseen in Belarus during the preceding three decades. Eighteen months after the election crisis, Belarusians were plunged into a new crisis as their state provided a supporting role in Russia’s large-scale invasion of Ukraine. This article identifies the main causes of the 2020 protests and their relationship to Belarusian national identity. It assesses the state of the national awakening three years after the 2020 election in the context of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Belarus’s role in that war; asking whether Belarus is still sovereign and whether loss of sovereignty is fatal for Belarusian national identity. It argues that Lukashenka’s position remains highly precarious and that the national awakening hangs in the balance.
All Time | Past 365 days | Past 30 Days | |
---|---|---|---|
Abstract Views | 598 | 290 | 19 |
Full Text Views | 21 | 9 | 0 |
PDF Views & Downloads | 54 | 25 | 0 |