Post-2014 Afghanistan Policy and the Limitations of China’s Global Role
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Although China is Afghanistan’s neighbor, strategic partner, and one of its largest foreign investors, it has kept a low profile overall on Afghanistan compared to other states in the region. This article seeks to understand China’s Afghanistan policy within the context of the Chinese government’s overall approach to foreign affairs. A review of China’s Afghanistan policy show a reluctant involvement, with domestic economic and security interests leading and foreign policy following. A final section examines the uncertain policy environment that China faces in devising an Afghanistan policy and some of the scenarios that Chinese scholars envisage for Afghanistan post-2014.
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1
David Shambaugh, China Goes Global: The Partial Power (New York: Oxford University Press, 2013), 7.
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2
Andrew Small, “China’s Afghan Moment,” Foreign Policy, October 3, 2012, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/10/03/chinas_afghan_moment (accessed February 26, 2013); Christian Le Mière, “Kabul’s New Patron? The Growing Afghan-Chinese Relationship,” Foreign Affairs, April 13, 2010, www.foreignaffairs.com (accessed July 11, 2013).
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Simon Hall, “China to Produce First Afghan Oil, Kabul Contends,” The Wall Street Journal, March 20, 2013, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324103504578371912086399952.html (accessed July 12, 2013).
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6
Andrew Erickson and Gabe Collins, “Enter China’s Security Firms,” Diplomat, February 21, 2012, http://thediplomat.com/2012/02/21/enter-china%E2%80%99s-security-firms (accessed July 12, 2013); “Bullets for Hire,” The Economist, November 17, 2012, http://www.economist.com/news/international/21566625-business-private-armies-not-only-growing-changing-shape-bullets-hire (accessed July 12, 2013).
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Agence France-Presse, “Top Security Official Zhou Yongkang Makes Landmark Afghanistan Visit,” South China Morning Post, September 23, 2012, http://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/1044343/top-security-official-zhou-yongkang-makes-landmark-afghan-visit (accessed July 11, 2013); “Afghanistan/China: Beijing’s Profile is Set to Rise,” OxResearch Daily Brief Series, Oxford Analytica, October 11, 2012. Zhou Yongkang is now under house arrest, pending an investigation of corruption charges.
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Andrew Small, “China Shakes Hands with the Taliban,” Foreign Policy, June 21, 2013, http://www.ipolitics.ca/2013/06/21/china-shakes-hands-with-the-taliban/ (accessed July 15, 2013).
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Interview with Chinese scholar, 2012.
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Gilbert Rozman, Chinese Strategic Thought toward Asia (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2010), 5.
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Alexander Cooley, Great Games, Local Rules: The New Great Power Contest in Central Asia (New York: Oxford University Press, 2012), 158; Richard Weitz, “The sco’s Failure in Afghanistan,” Central Asia-Caucasus Institute Analyst, February 16, 2011, http://old.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/5494 (accessed June 21, 2013).
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Interview with Chinese scholar, 2011.
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Erica Downs, “China Buys into Afghanistan,” SAIS Review XXXII, no. 2 (2012): 66.
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Interview with Chinese scholar, 2011.
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Zhang Jiaodong, “Can China Be the Winner in Afghanistan,” Global Times, February 26, 2013.
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Ma Yong, 36; Zhao Huasheng, China and Afghanistan, 19. Lou Chunhao, 47.
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Harsh V. Pant, “Common Interests in Afghanistan test China-India Ties,” The National (United Arab Emirates), May 5, 2013, http://www.thenational.ae/thenationalconversation/comment/common-interests-in-afghanistan-test-china-india-ties (accessed July 9, 2013).
Post-2014 Afghanistan Policy and the Limitations of China’s Global Role
In: Central Asian AffairsSearch for other papers by Elizabeth Wishnick in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Although China is Afghanistan’s neighbor, strategic partner, and one of its largest foreign investors, it has kept a low profile overall on Afghanistan compared to other states in the region. This article seeks to understand China’s Afghanistan policy within the context of the Chinese government’s overall approach to foreign affairs. A review of China’s Afghanistan policy show a reluctant involvement, with domestic economic and security interests leading and foreign policy following. A final section examines the uncertain policy environment that China faces in devising an Afghanistan policy and some of the scenarios that Chinese scholars envisage for Afghanistan post-2014.