Towards a Model Explaining the Political (In)stability and Variety of Regimes in the Post-Soviet Region

in Comparative Sociology
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The article examines the conditions of political stability and different regime trajectories in the post-Soviet region. The impact of political, socioeconomic, and cultural factors is explored to identify the necessary and sufficient conditions for political stability and democracy, as well as their relationship with each other. Applying fuzzy set comparative analysis, this article demonstrates the significance of social inclusion in political stability, although it cannot confirm any causality between political stability and democracy in the post-Soviet region. In terms of the necessary conditions for democracy, only a democratic political culture is significant; while both democratic political culture and the absence of a strong economic dependence on natural resources are sufficient conditions for democracy in the region.

Towards a Model Explaining the Political (In)stability and Variety of Regimes in the Post-Soviet Region

in Comparative Sociology



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    A tentative model of the conditions for political stability and democracy.

    source: authors’ own model.

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    The final model with the results.

    source: own calculations.

  • View in gallery
    The impact of social inclusion on political stability.

    source: own calculations.

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    Political culture and democracy.

    source: own calculations.

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    The absence of gdp dependence on natural resources and political culture.

    source: own calculations.


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