In the fall of 2011 a Real-time Delphi survey was conducted with members of Empowered21, entitled: “Outlook 2020: The future of Spirit-empowered Christianity.” The survey consisted of thirteen projections for the year 2020, ranging from positive statements, such as “The church will experience a fresh, historic outpouring of the Holy Spirit,” to negative ones, such as “There will be an increase of public moral failures among Spirit-empowered leaders.” Of the 132 members invited, 29 percent, or 38 participants completed the survey. Participants reached a consensus on eight of thirteen projections. The results show that Empowered21 leaders have high expectations for 2020 — that the church would experience a historic outpouring of the Holy Spirit, sustained by new leadership. Yet, this would be accompanied by an increasing divide between how emerging and established generations express their Spirit-empowered faith.
See Todd M. Johnson“The Global Demographics of the Pentecostal and Charismatic Renewal,”Social Science and Modern Society46 no. 6 (November-December 2009): 479-83; and Todd M. Johnson “The Global Demographics of the Pentecostal and Charismatic Renewal” in Spirit and Power: The Growth and Global Impact of Pentecostalism ed. Donald E. Miller Kimon H. Sergeant and Richard Flory (Oxford University Press forthcoming).
See Andrew PerrimanFuture of the People of God: Reading Romans before and after Western Christendom (Eugene, OR: Cascade2010); David Edward Aune Prophecy in Early Christianity and the Ancient Mediterranean World (Grand Rapids MI: Eerdmans 1983). Historians place biblical revelation as one of five chronological layers of modern futures studies: divination revelation progressivism historicism and social science. See W. Warren Wagar The Next Three Futures: Paradigms of Things to Come (New York: Praeger 1991) 17-20.
See Jay Gary“The Future According to Jesus: A Galilean Model of Foresight,”Futures40 no. 7 (September 2008): 630-42; and Thomas D. Hollinger “Revelation Foresight and Fortitude: How Awareness of the Future Affected the Early Church and How Their Past Might Influence Our Future” Journal of Biblical Perspectives in Leadership 3 no. 2 (Summer 2011): 48-59 http://www.regent.edu/acad/global/publications/jbpl/.
For exceptions see John RobertoFaith Formation 2020: Designing the Future of Faith Formation (Naugatuck, CT: LifelongFaith Associates2010) cf <http://www.faithformation2020.net/>; also Steve Brimmer ChurchFutures.com: The Home of Futurecasting. 2010 <http://www.churchfutures.com/>.
Todd M. Johnson and D. B. Barrett“Quantifying Alternate Futures of Religion and Religions,”Futures36 no. 9 (November 2004): 947-60; cf World Christian Database 2011 Leiden Netherlands: Brill Online <http://www.worldchristiandatabase.org>.
Gary Hamel and C. K. Prahalad“Competing for the Future,”Harvard Business Review72 no. 4 (July-August 1994): 122-28; Hugh Courtney Jane Kirkland and Patrick Viguerie “Strategy Under Uncertainty” Harvard Business Review 75 no. 6 (November-December 1997): 66-79; Michel Godet Philippe Durance and Adam Gerber Strategic Foresight: For Corporate and Regional Development trans. Adam Gerber (France: Dunod UNESCO and Fondation Prospective et Innovation 2011); http://en.laprospective.fr/books/10-strategic-foresight-for-corporate-and-regional-development.html
Tobias Gnatzy et al.“Validating an Innovative Real-Time Delphi Approach: A Methodological Comparison Between Real-Time and Conventional Delphi Studies,”Technological Forecasting and Social Change78 no. 9 (November 2011): 1681-94.
By May2011E21 adopted a planning horizon extending to 2020. In January 2012 they complemented this with a visionary horizon of 2033 — the date of the two-thousandth anniversary of Pentecost. For more on jubilee dynamics see Jay E. Gary The Star of 2000: Our Journey Toward Hope (Colorado Springs CO: Bimillennial 1994).
Rick Parente and Janet Anderson-Parente“Delphi Inquiry Systems,” in Judgmental Forecastinged. George Wright and Peter Ayton (New York: J. Wiley1987) 129-56.