Series:

Zhibo Zou

Abstract

Starting from the inner mechanisms of the structural conflicts between the big powers, this article proposes to examine two dimensions of those structural conflicts—depth and intensity—and to divide the conflicts into four levels, based on the degree of difficulty of changing them, and to use this framework to analyze the structural conflicts in the relationships between the United States and Russia and between the United States and China. On this basis, and taking into consideration two of the main factors affecting the triangular relationship of China, the United States, and Russia—the world strategic pattern and the national strategies of the three countries—this article analyzes whether or not the Trump presidency will change the triangular relationship, and how globalization is affecting the triangular relationship.