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Henry E. Hale, Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov

center of Russia’s regime, along with the Kremlin’s skill in wielding it, we argue, helps explain its resilience over time. What might our perspective have to say about the future of Russia’s regime? Perhaps the safest prediction is that it will not look the same after 2024 as it does today in 2019. It

Thomas F. Remington

—has sufficient power to force open political and economic markets. Hellman’s insight was contrary to predictions that social unrest by those made worse off by liberal reforms, such as industrial workers and urban consumers, would be the major source of opposition to the completion of the liberalization. Hellman

Barbara Junisbai, Azamat Junisbai and Baurzhan Zhussupov

’a law? To answer these questions, we run three regression models, where the outcomes of interest are religious practice and religious orthodoxy. The article proceeds as follows. First, we derive predictions from the extant literature on Islam in Central Asia and test these against data from the 2007

Fabian Burkhardt and Alexander Libman

extracting rents). If the central monitoring over the CFI s themselves is highly intensive, the rent-seeking opportunities also diminish. We conclude that the prediction of the allocation of the siloviki to individual regions from the point of view of their self-selection into the most attractive rent

Book Discussion

Lawrence Markowitz, State Erosion. Unlootable Resources and Unruly Elites in Central Asia (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2013)

? Following on from this point we reach the question of the overall value of the model. In the conclusion, Markowitz claims that the prediction of patterns of state failure in resource-poor states is possible. This is a big claim. State Erosion is a structuralist account of state failure that posits certain

Artemy M. Kalinovsky

Revolution: Autobiographical Confessions and Historiographical Predictions,” Kritika: Explorations in Russian and Soviet History 16, no. 4 (2015): 751–768.

Robert M. Hayden

not a Fukuyama-like prediction of the end of history being liberal democracy. To the contrary, Bianchini’s concern, drawing on Zygmunt Bauman’s concepts of fluid modernity, is that the increasing fluid dynamics of trans-border communications and movements of goods, ideas and people, are setting up

Russell Zanca Northeastern Illinois University 5500 N. St. Louis Ave, Chicago, il , 60625 Studies of Islam in the former Soviet Union, including common beliefs and practices, continue to advance our understanding that go far beyond alarmist predictions or the identification of

Asel Doolotkeldieva and Alexander Wolters

can now claim to have conducted two competitive and mostly fair elections in a row. 2 This seemingly positive outcome of a full election cycle in Kyrgyzstan deserves further attention. Despite multiple predictions about the inevitable failure of the parliamentary experiment in Kyrgyzstan, the

Doug Blum

consider violence as measurement. But many youth recognized the protests as courageous acts of young people who all knew that they would subsequently be expelled from university, be visited by security agents, or even face arrest. Nobody knows when a conflict inflames youth en mass so any prediction is at