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Can China’s food production capability meet her peak food demand in the future?

Based on food demand and production capability prediction till the year 2050

In: International Food and Agribusiness Management Review
Authors:
Du Yuneng Associate professor, College of Economics & Management, Anhui Agricultural University, No.130 Changjiangxi Road, Hefei, Anhui 230036, P.R. China.

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Xu Youliang Postgraduate student, College of Economics & Management, Anhui Agricultural University, No.130 Changjiangxi Road, Hefei, Anhui 230036, P.R. China.

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Zhang Leiyong Senior manager, Postdoctoral Research Center of Hefei Xingtai Financial Holdings(Group) Co., Ltd., No.1688 Qimen Road, Hefei, Anhui 230071, P.R. China.
Post doctor, School of management, University of Science and Technologyof China, No.96, JinZhai Road, Hefei, Anhui 230026, P.R. China.

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Song Shufang Lecturer, College of Economics & Management, Anhui Agricultural University, No.130 Changjiangxi Road, Hefei, Anhui 230036, P.R. China.

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Open Access

With the increase of food demand in China and the growth of world population, whether China can meet her peak food demand in the future or not has become an issue worth study. By consolidating relevant factors of food demand in China, the peak food demand is predicted to occur in 2036, and the peak food demand amount is predicted at 758.17 million tons by factor and synthetical analysis. Through factor consolidation and scenario test, the following policy implications have been unearthed: China’s food production capability is crucial to maintain her future food security; improving the gain yield is the key method; monitoring China’s population change and formulating appropriate population policies are important; reducing food waste, curbing unreasonable consumption and promoting healthy and green diet are needed; construction of high standard farmland will be significant in maintaining the food security; and excessive stored food should be de-stocked in a timely manner.

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